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Elon Musk (And 350 Experts) Predict Exactly When Artificial Intelligence Will Overtake Human Intelligence

7 June, 2017

Elon Musk (And 350 Experts) Predict Exactly When Artificial Intelligence Will Overtake Human Intelligence

Given the speed at which researchers are advancing artificial intelligence, the question has become not if A.I. will become smarter than its human creators, but when?

A team of researchers from Yale University and Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute recently set off to determine the answer. During May and June of 2016, they polled hundreds of industry leaders and academics to get their predictions for when A.I. will hit certain milestones.

The findings, which the team published in a study last week: A.I. will be capable of performing any task as well or better than humans–otherwise known as high-level machine intelligence–by 2060 and will overtake all human jobs by 2136. Those results are based on the 352 experts who responded.

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